پژوهشی
Introduce a Model to Establish Industrial Clusters in Petrochemicals

موسایی موسایی؛ منصوری مؤید منصوری مؤید؛ قضاتلو قضاتلو

دوره 16، شماره 28 ، اسفند 1388

https://doi.org/10.22067/pm.v16i28.2503

چکیده
  According to national significance and strategic position of Iranian petrochemical industry, the necessity of doing a study about petrochemical industry is an inevitable issue. This paper with introducing a step to step model for current petrochemical products and future vision, based on suggested and enacted projects, explains the effective model of managing industrial clusters. The main characteristics of the model is existence of marketing plan, market researches, commercialization of the created idea and implementing in industrial clusters to foster knowledge accumulation in petrochemical R&D ...  بیشتر

پژوهشی
Economic Evaluation and Survey of Benefits of New Road Building for Transit from Sarbisheh Road to Frontier Market of Mile 78 Project for Southern Khorasan Province

میرزایی میرزایی؛ احمد صباحی؛ باقری باقری

دوره 16، شماره 28 ، اسفند 1388

https://doi.org/10.22067/pm.v16i28.2508

چکیده
  The purpose of this article is to provide economic evaluation of Sarbisheh road to frontier market of mile 78 ( Southern Khorasan Province) and analysis its social- economic effects. So, first survey of this cases, such as: region characters of case study (Southern Khorasan Province and Sarbisheh town), path present situation of case study, 3 sectional recommended path of researcher, analysis of construction and improvement costs of this sectional recommended path compare with benefits of upward mobility of technical mobility paths. Then, presented cost- benefits analysis of project that include: ...  بیشتر

پژوهشی
A Study of Protective Policies and Comparative Advantage in Handmade Carpet Production

عصاری آرانی عصاری آرانی؛ رضاقلی زاده رضاقلی زاده

دوره 16، شماره 28 ، اسفند 1388

https://doi.org/10.22067/pm.v16i28.2602

چکیده
  Awareness of existence of advantage in various sectors of each country is a necessary guide to assess its presence degree in international markets. As now, our country is a supervisor member of WTO, it is necessary to identify different industries so that we can have our favorite advantage in the global trade. In this study through domestic resource cost index, we estimated the relative advantage in the production of hand- made silk 65 raj carpet which is known as the best carpet for production-export purposes in 3 provinces of Qom, Esfahan, and West Azarbaijan in 1385. On the other hand, regarding ...  بیشتر

پژوهشی
A Study of Relationship between the price of Producer and Consumer

احمدی شادمهری احمدی شادمهری؛ احمدی احمدی

دوره 16، شماره 28 ، اسفند 1388

https://doi.org/10.22067/pm.v16i28.2603

چکیده
  In the last decade, the analysis of price relationship along production chain from producer through consumer has been a common tool for measuring efficiency rate and competitiveness of different markets. Markets of agricultural products, meat and dairy are received the most attention by researchers. In the present paper, we studied the price relations and how price is transmitted between the producer level and the consumer level for cheese. Data used in the research include consumer price index and producer price index for cheese covering monthly periods of 91 months since March 2001 to October ...  بیشتر

پژوهشی
Evaluation of Bilateral Trade Potentials Between lran and EU Countries

حسینی حسینی؛ پرمه پرمه

دوره 16، شماره 28 ، اسفند 1388

https://doi.org/10.22067/pm.v16i28.2604

چکیده
  This article is intended to assess the capacity and trade potential in products between Iran and 25 European Union member countries by using 4 indices of Drysdale, Cosines, Trade Potential and Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) for the period of 1999-2003. Some findings of the research are as follows: The estimation of Iran’s export potential for exporting to the European Union members during the period of 1999-2003 shows that the most part of Iran’s export potential belongs to Germany with an annual amount of $1/24billion. Countries such as Italy, Netherlands, France and Belgium have the ...  بیشتر

پژوهشی
The Effect of Economic Freedom on Economic growth with Institutional Approach (Causal Investigation)

رزمی رزمی؛ محمدرضا کلائی

دوره 16، شماره 28 ، اسفند 1388

https://doi.org/10.22067/pm.v16i28.2605

چکیده
  Economic freedom or individual freedom in doing transaction, exchange and assets transfer, which is obtained from legal channel, have significant effects on economic growth in society with relatively efficient institutions such as property rights security and transaction cost reduction, via motivating and promoting competition. This study investigates the effect of economic freedom on economic growth with due attention to institutional economic literature and use of Lakatuch methodology. Also it recognizes the paths of the relationship between economic freedom and growth. The utilized model is ...  بیشتر

پژوهشی
Estimating the Urban Water Demand Function for Orumieh City

عبدلی عبدلی؛ فرجی دیزجی فرجی دیزجی

دوره 16، شماره 28 ، اسفند 1388

https://doi.org/10.22067/pm.v16i28.2737

چکیده
  During the last century, rapid urbanization and population growth have resulted in water shortage and pollution, so it is necessary to consider water as an important economic goods and manage its utilization in economic way. In order to manage water demand, it is an important issue to get information about demand function. Thus in this paper we use the Stone-Gray utility function to derive demand function. Then we use a Vector Autoregressive Regressive (VAR) model for estimating water demand in Orumieh city for the period of1378-84. The results of the research indicate that: 1) Water demand ...  بیشتر

پژوهشی
Iran's Exchange Rate Forecasting Using ANFIS, NNARX & ARIMA Models (2002-2008)

بافنده ایمان دوست بافنده ایمان دوست؛ فهیمی‌فرد فهیمی‌فرد؛ شیرزادی شیرزادی

دوره 16، شماره 28 ، اسفند 1388

https://doi.org/10.22067/pm.v16i28.2738

چکیده
  Monetary policy makers have been engrossed continually to discover the suitable method for exchange rate forecasting in order to preventing its disruptive movements. But exchange rate movement's manifold determinants cause to its complex and nonlinear behavior. Nonlinear models have better performance for its forecasting. Therefore, in this study the performance of nonlinear models such as ANFIS and NNARX and linear model such as ARIMA were compared in Iran's Rial/US$ & Rial/€ for 2, 4 and 8 days ahead via most important forecast performance criteria and daily data related to 20 March 2002- 21 ...  بیشتر

پژوهشی
Review of the prediction power of Altman and Ohlson Models in predicting bankruptcy of Listed Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange

قدیری مقدم قدیری مقدم؛ غلامپور فرد غلامپور فرد؛ نصیر زاده نصیر زاده

دوره 16، شماره 28 ، اسفند 1388

https://doi.org/10.22067/pm.v16i28.2739

چکیده
  Current collapses of big companies and the worse fluctuations of the financial markets have evoked the awareness of the stakeholders and managers to utilize suitable tools to predict the financial distress of companies. One of such tools is the application of financial ratios as independent variables and developing models to predict bankruptcy issue. The objective of this study is first to test the prediction power of original Altman (1983) and Ohlson (1980) models on the dataset of Iranian listed companies and secondly by applying Multiple Discriminant Analysis (i.e. MDA) and Logit Analysis statistical ...  بیشتر