Identifying and analyzing the financial and economic drivers of Iran's development policymaking with a futures research approach

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 PhD student in Development Sociology, Islamic Azad University, West Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran.

2 Professor of Sociology, Islamic Azad University, Tehran West Branch

3 Professor of Sociology, Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch, Tehran, Iran

Abstract
Development policies in Iran can be examined and analyzed from several important aspects, but what can have the most impact in this area are financial and economic issues, which have been proven to have an impact on development trends and related policies in many countries. Accordingly, the aim of this research is to identify and analyze the financial and economic drivers of Iran's development policy. The method of conducting this research is a qualitative futures study that was conducted with a trend analysis strategy and all financial and economic trends governing the development policy situation in Iran were studied by studying domestic and foreign reports, in-depth interviews, and brainstorming sessions. The population of experts and development policy activists in Iran, 25 of whom participated in the research process through interviews and participation in brainstorming sessions. Data analysis was based on trend analysis and was based on driver analysis. The research findings showed that the macro-trend of economic changes is driven by; Monitoring and measuring development, abolishing economic protectionism, foreign financing, financing through tourism, developing trade routes, the emergence of multinational corporations, decoupling the economy from the environment, supporting green economy projects and social returns, global convergence for development, changing labor markets, and good corporate governance have been identified. Then, through quantitative analysis of these drivers, it was determined that three drivers; abolishing economic protectionism with an average of (4.32), foreign financing with an average of (4.14), and the emergence of multinational corporations with an average of (4.06) are among the most important drivers for development policymaking, and the drivers of foreign financing with an average of (4.67), financing through tourism with an average of (4.35), and the emergence of multinational corporations with an average of (4.19) are the most influential drivers in development policymaking.

Keywords

Subjects

Send comment about this article
Enter Name.
Enter a valid email address.
Enter a vaid affiliation.
Enter comments (At leaset 10 words)
CAPTCHA Image
Enter Security Code Correctly.

Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 28 January 2026

  • Receive Date 03 August 2025
  • Revise Date 11 September 2025
  • Accept Date 28 January 2026