Document Type : Original Article
Authors
1 Faculty Member (Newcomer), Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Shahid Beheshti University
2 Faculty Member, Department of Economics, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Ardakan, Ardakan, Iran
Abstract
Aim and Introduction:
The precautionary demand for money is usually influenced by uncertain factors and changes in cash flows, and is dependent on assets with high liquidity. This study aims to identify the role of qarz al-hasanah (interest-free loans) in the precautionary demand for money using the Canian and Tarka model.
Methodology:
The specified equations were estimated using quarterly time series data from the years 1377 to 1402 using the ARDL method, and the coefficient obtained from the ECM estimation is used to identify long-term relationships.
Findings:
The results show that the expansion of the capital market has a greater impact on the allocation of money demand than on liquidity preferences, and gold strengthens the precautionary demand for money during periods of economic instability, especially when monetary policies face challenges in dealing with crises. Furthermore, inflation significantly affects adaptive behaviors and changes in money demand, and qarz al-hasanah plays a key role in enhancing liquidity and managing short-term financial gaps. Additionally, a long-term relationship exists between the qarz al-hasanah variable, as an independent variable, and the precautionary demand for money.
Discussion and Conclusion:
The precautionary demand for money is influenced by several factors, including capital markets, loans, inflation, and asset preferences. The expansion of the capital market has a greater impact on the allocation of money demand than on liquidity preferences. Gold, as an asset, strengthens the precautionary demand for money during periods of economic instability and challenges the effectiveness of monetary policy. Inflation affects adaptive behaviors, and currency also creates an immediate precautionary response in money demand. Qarz al-hasanah is confirmed in smoothing liquidity cycles and managing both short-term and long-term money demand, and i t effectively contributes to increasing liquidity and filling short-term financial gaps.
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