Financial Economics
Sareh Amirmojahedi; Ali Raeispour Rajabali; seied abdolmajed jalaee esfandabadi; reza zeinalzadeh
Abstract
Considering that in the knowledge economy , production, distribution and application of knowledge and information is the main factor of development, produce of wealth and employment in all economic activities, therefore, it is important to examine the financial friction and financial development on the ...
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Considering that in the knowledge economy , production, distribution and application of knowledge and information is the main factor of development, produce of wealth and employment in all economic activities, therefore, it is important to examine the financial friction and financial development on the indicators of the knowledge economy of economic sectors, Therefore In this research the effect of shocks due to financial friction (increase in legal reserve rate) and financial development (reduce in bank loans interest rate) on knowledge base index (R&D expenditure) of each economic sector (agriculture, industry and services) was studied using Recursive Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (RDCGE) model. For this purpose the required date was gathered from social accounting matrix of Islamic Parliament of Iran related to year 2011 and input-output table of Central Bank of Iran related to year 2016. Results indicated that shocks of financial friction have significant inverse effect and shocks of financial development have significant positive effect on knowledge base index (R&D expenditure) of agriculture, industry and services sectors. Because with increase in financial friction or development, the ability of banks for allocating bank loans to economic firms will reduce and consequently their knowledge base index (R&D expenditure) will reduce. In addition between studied economic sectors, the financial friction and development shocks have the most effect on knowledge base index (R&D expenditure) of industry, agriculture and services sectors, respectively.
Financial Economics
Mahdi Jalili; Elnaz Entezar; Tahereh Akhoondzadeh Yousefi; Mohammad Sokhanvar
Abstract
1- INTRODUCTION
Undoubtedly, it is possible to achieve long-term and continuous economic growth in any country by equipping and optimally allocating investment resources in the national economy of that country, and the role of developed financial markets is necessary to achieve this goal. In fact, the ...
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1- INTRODUCTION
Undoubtedly, it is possible to achieve long-term and continuous economic growth in any country by equipping and optimally allocating investment resources in the national economy of that country, and the role of developed financial markets is necessary to achieve this goal. In fact, the role and importance of the financial system in the development process of countries is such that the difference between developed and developing economies can be found in the degree of efficiency and effectiveness of their financial system. Financial development is a category, which, according to the developments of financial markets, following the discussions of globalization and financial integration after the 70s, was taken into the attention of economists. Therefore, considering the importance of the financial development category in different countries, the study of factors affecting it has always been emphasized. Financial development is a set of factors, policies and institutions that lead to the creation of effective financial markets and financial intermediaries and provide deep and wide access to capital and financial services.
2- THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
Many factors can influence the development process of financial markets, among which, the role of the combined index of globalization and inflation can be very important. Some economists and economic policymakers, such as Greenaway and Baltaji, believe that globalization leads to better macroeconomic performance and faster financial development in terms of financial and commercial openness, which many empirical studies support this view. International institutions such as the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Economic Development advise member countries to believe that commercial and financial liberalization has a positive effect on financial development.
3- METHODOLOGY
In this research, the non-linear effects of globalization and inflation on the financial development index (facilities granted by the banking system) in Iran during the period 1368 to 2020 have been investigated by using the Markov switching econometric technique.
In this study, the dependent variable is financial development, and the independent variables are inflation, globalization, capital stock, and government spending.
4- RESULTS & DISCUSSION
In the first regime, the economic dimension of globalization has a positive effect on financial development, which indicates that, due to the increase in the economic dimension of globalization, the index of financial development (facilities granted by the banking system) increases. But in the second regime, the economic dimension of globalization has a negative effect on financial development, which indicates that, due to the increase in the economic dimension of globalization, the index of financial development (facilities granted by the banking system) decreases.
Inflation caused by demand pressure and monetary inflation in both regimes has a negative effect on financial development, which indicates that, due to the increase in inflation caused by demand pressure and monetary inflation, the index of financial development (facilities granted by the banking system) decreases.
Human capital in both regimes has a positive effect on financial development, which indicates that, due to the increase in human capital, the financial development index (facilities granted by the banking system) increases.
In the first regime, capital stock has a positive effect on financial development, which indicates that, due to an increase in capital stock, the index of financial development (facilities granted by the banking system) increases. But in the second regime, it has no effect on financial development. Government spending in both regimes has a negative effect on financial development, which indicates that, due to an increase in government spending, the financial development index (facilities granted by the banking system) decreases.
5- CONCLUSIONS & SUGGESTIONS
The results of the estimates indicate that the sources of inflation (inflation caused by demand pressure and monetary inflation, structural inflation, inflation caused by cost pressure and imported inflation) had a negative effect on financial development in both regimes. Regarding the dimensions of globalization (economic dimension, social dimension and political dimension), we saw a positive relationship in the first regime and a negative relationship in the second regime. In connection with the results of the control variables, the variables of capital stock and human capital in both regimes had a positive effect on banking facilities, but the effect of government spending on banking facilities in both regimes was negative. Now, according to the results, policy proposals are presented as follows:
- What can be stated with certainty is that paying attention to globalization and joining international organizations such as the World Trade Organization can help improve the performance of financial development indicators in Iran. Because Iran has a long way to go on the path of globalization and integration into it. Therefore, the economic, political, social and cultural dimensions, especially the political dimension, need a fundamental revision.
Bank
MOHAMMAD HOSSEIN Hadavi; Behrooz Ghasemi; SOHEIL SARMAD SAEIDI
Abstract
In the current situation of the country, realizing macroeconomic policies and achieving the goals of the resistive economy, financing the needs of the real and productive sectors of the economy, especially in the field of indirect provision of funds needed for those active in industrial markets, has ...
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In the current situation of the country, realizing macroeconomic policies and achieving the goals of the resistive economy, financing the needs of the real and productive sectors of the economy, especially in the field of indirect provision of funds needed for those active in industrial markets, has become more important than before. It is necessary to find solutions that can respond to the increasing demand for credit services in banks in the current inflationary conditions of the economy and help in the direct financing of the production chain. The use of alternative solutions for granting facilities, such as opening Rial letters of credit, while fulfilling the expectations of industrial customers, is not only compatible with the rules of Islamic banking, but is also attractive for banks because it helps to increase non- shared income. In this regard, conducting applied research with the aim of financial development of commercial banks and improving the marketing methods of financing tools, while helping to strengthen the country's financial system and facilitating the implementation of the general policies of the resistive economy, can also be a way forward in the prosperity of production. This research was carried out with a qualitative approach and with the grounded theory method. Then banking industry experts, experts, managers and other people familiar with the process of opening letters of credit in Sadaret Bank of Iran were selected by snowball method and after interviewing them, data analysis was done in three stages of open coding, axial coding and code Selection was done. Finally, the pattern of prioritization of industrial customers applying for internal letters of credit in Saderat Bank and other commercial banks was presented.
MOHAMMAD HOSSEIN Hadavi; Behrooz Ghasemi; SOHEIL SARMAD SAEIDI
Abstract
Financial development in banks, as the most important pillar of Iran's financing system, requires identifying business opportunities and facilitating the exchange of goods and services through diversification of financing methods and focusing on improving the effectiveness of the resource allocation ...
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Financial development in banks, as the most important pillar of Iran's financing system, requires identifying business opportunities and facilitating the exchange of goods and services through diversification of financing methods and focusing on improving the effectiveness of the resource allocation system with the aim of attracting Customer satisfaction.Achieving these goals requires the use of integrated management systems that simultaneously focus on financial, marketing and decision-making issues. Credit solutions such as inland letters of credit are especially important in the field of indirect provision of funds needed for those active in industrial markets, which are referred to industrial customers.In this research, based on the grounded theory methods and the multi-criteria decision-making combined approach, the criteria for segmenting industrial customers applying for inland letters of credit and the internal and external factors affecting the development of services to this group of customers were prioritized. The findings of the research show that if the bank focuses on eliminating the weaknesses in the system in order to take advantage of significant environmental opportunities in the business environment of customers, it will have a smoother path for financial development and the realization of its financial goals and policies.
Ali Rasooli Zadehi; Ali Reza Daghighi Asli; Marjan Daman Keshideh; Gholamreza Geraei Nejad; majid Afshari Rad
Abstract
Abstract Expanded 1- INTRODUCTION The development of the financial system in all economies is one of the challenging issues that has been raised by economists in different decades. According to the latest report of the World Economic Forum (2012), creating an efficient, resilient and fair international ...
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Abstract Expanded 1- INTRODUCTION The development of the financial system in all economies is one of the challenging issues that has been raised by economists in different decades. According to the latest report of the World Economic Forum (2012), creating an efficient, resilient and fair international financial system can support customers and activate savings and investment, which in turn can lead to economic growth and the creation of jobs and businesses in the economy. In regard to the results of previous studies, a higher growth rate can be expected from any country that has a more efficient financial system. However, despite much evidence to support the positive impact of financial development on economic growth, there is still no consensus on the relationship between the two. In general, there are two main schools of thought on this subject. Proponents of the first school of thought argue that financial development is essential for economic growth (Levin, 1997; and McKinnon, 1973). In contrast, proponents of the second school of thought, who are predominantly neoclassical theorists, argue that the financial sector is not the main driver of growth (Robinson, 1952; Lucas, 1988 and Shan, 2005). Among some researchers such as Patrick (1966), the existence of a two-way causal relationship and others such as Singh (1997), Andersen and Tarp (2003), Ayadi et al. (2015) and Ductor and Grechyna (2015), have found an inverse relationship between financial sector development and economic growth.2- THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK Indeed, although most empirical studies in this area confirm the positive impact of financial development on economic growth and show a one-way relationship between financial sector development and the real sector of the economy, but by reviewing the existing literature, it can be inferred that the relationship between these two macroeconomic variables is not definite. According to the existing literature, different results on the causal relationship between these two key variables are affected by the financial development pillars (such as financial stability). Financial stability refers to situations in which financial crises do not generally disrupt the core functions of the financial system. This requires a disciplined government with a stable budget structure that can stabilize the macroeconomy and ultimately provide the conditions for financial stability in the economy.3- METHODOLOGYTherefore, the purpose of this article is to study the effect of budgetary stability indicators in the expenditure sector on the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth. For this purpose, first considering financial development as a multidimensional index and considering the bank-based financial system in Iran, seven indicators of financial development in the banking sector have been used and then the multidimensional index of financial development using principal component analysis technique (PCA) has been calculated. Then, the causal relationship between the multidimensional index of financial development and economic growth has been analyzed using the bi-variate causality technique based on the vector error correction model (VECM) during the period 1357-1397. Finally, the effect of macroeconomic stability budget indicators on the causal relationship between these two variables has been studied using the tri-variate causality test based on the above model.4- RESULTS & DISCUSSIONThe results of our estimation show a one-way causal relationship from financial development to economic growth. The findings also indicate that the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth is affected by budgetary stability indices. Although the ratio of government debt to central bank, government debt to banks and non-bank financial institutions ratio and current expenditure ratio to GDP, have been able to maintain this direct causal relationship, but in other cases the negative significant impact of these indicators on the causal relationship between these two variables has been confirmed.5- CONCLUSION & SUGGESTIONSThe main results of this study show that the performance of government in the expenditure sector (except for three of these indicators) has led to the passivity of the financial sector to the real sector of the economy. Among the important reasons for such results are the short time horizon of governments’ plans, lack of serious efforts to reduce dependence on oil revenues due to the existence of high rents for some stakeholders and the lack of use of new financing methods for the budget deficit.
Fahmideh fattahi; Afsaneh Hosseinzadeh; Samad Hekmati Farid
Abstract
Extended abstract1- INTRODUCTIONFinancial institutions play a crucial role in capital accumulation and financial development. These institutions by mobilization of savings; facilitation of trade, diversification and pooling of risks; monitoring of firms and exerting corporate governance; and facilitating ...
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Extended abstract1- INTRODUCTIONFinancial institutions play a crucial role in capital accumulation and financial development. These institutions by mobilization of savings; facilitation of trade, diversification and pooling of risks; monitoring of firms and exerting corporate governance; and facilitating exchange play an important role in achieving economic growth. In many empirical studies, the relationship between economic growth and financial development has been considered, and most researchers have identified the accumulation of physical and human capital and total productivity growth as the main channels for the impact of financial development on economic growth (Levine, 1997; Duramany-Lakkoh, 2020).2- THEORETICAL FRAMEWORKEmpirical studies show that the government spending has traditionally been considered a counterproductive policy tool for stimulating credit. Standard Keynesian and neoclassical theories express that an increase in government spending raises interest rates, thereby lowering private-sector investment. But there is the number of evidence to support the notion that government spending makes it stronger credit markets (Murphy & Walsh, 2018). In contrast, growing evidence from the United States and other advanced economies suggests that government spending could lower long-term interest rates (Miranda-Pinto et al, 2019). These studies indicate a gap in economists' understanding of the relationship between financial stimulus and credit markets.Also, Nanforosh & Dizaji (2016) show that government spending has a negative and significant impact on financial development, as well as trade, financial globalization and the quality index of legal institutions have a positive impact on financial development.3- METHODOLOGY Considering symmetrical and asymmetrical effects of fiscal policy and trade development on financial development in Iran Using annual data over the period 1973-2017. That, the Johansen-Jocilus method was used to investigate the symmetric effects and the auto-regressive distributed lag (NARDL) model was used to investigate the asymmetric effects. In order to determine asymmetric pass-through of openness and government spending to financial development, we follow the approach of Shin et al. (2014). This approach requires the decomposition of the variable of interest. In this case, we decompose the LTARDE and LGOV variables into positive and negative sub-variables. The partial sums of positive and negative changes in openness are given by and , also, partial sums of positive and negative changes in government spending and . where LCREDIT is defined as financial development, LTRADE is degree of openness, LGOV is government spending and LCP is inflation.4- RESULTS & DISCUSSIONIn time-series analyzes, before considering the model's estimation, it is necessary to test the statics variables of the research. ADF test results show that (LGOV+) and LTRADE variables is integrated at order zero I(0) and other variables are not stationary at the level. Also, PP test results show that (LGOV+) variables is integrated at order zero I(0) and other variables are not stationary at the level (table 1). Therefore, their first-order difference should be used in the Johansen-Jocilus method and NARDL model. The results indicate that co-integration is present. This result is supported by the fact that F-static is higher than the upper bound critical value at 1% critical value. Hence, the null hypothesis of no co-integration can be rejected. The results of the symmetric method show that in the long run, the increase in Government Spending and inflation have a significant negative effect on financial development. The results show that trade development has a positive and significant effect. Also, the results of the VECM model indicated that in each period, 0.078 of the imbalance or short-run error is adjusted towards the long-run equilibrium. Also, the results of the NARDL method show that the positive shock of government spending has a negative effect and the negative shock of government spending has a positive and significant effect on financial development. The positive trade shock has a positive effect and negative trade shock has a negative effect on financial development. Also, the results show that inflation has a significant negative effect on financial development. Finally, the results of the Wald test show that the effects of government spending shocks and trade are asymmetric in both the short and long run. The step toward achieving the research objectives is to examine the stability of the long-run parameter of the NARDL model by using the Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) and Cumulative Sum of Square (CUSUMSQ) tests following Pesaran et al., (1997). If the plots of these tests statistics stay within the critical bound of 5% level of significance, the null hypothesis of all coefficients of the regression are stable and cannot be rejected. Therefore, it implies that the coefficients in the error-correction model are stable. As observed in Figure (3), the plots of CUSUM and CUSUMSQ statistics stay within the critical 5% bound for the period. 5- CONCLUSIONS & SUGGESTIONSThe present study evaluated the symmetrical and asymmetrical effects of fiscal policy and trade development on financial development in Iran Using annual data over the period 1973-2017. For this purpose, the Johansen-Jocilus method and (NARDL) model was used to estimate. The results show that in the long run, the increase in government spending (fiscal policy) and inflation have a significant negative effect on financial development. Also, the results show that trade development has a positive and significant effect on financial development.
nazar dahmardeh; Marzieh Esfandiari; zohreh eskandaripour
Abstract
Introduction
Achieving economic growth along with improving the distribution of income is always one of the main goals of economic development. In this regard, policy makers are the tools and policies that enhance the growth and distribution of income in a coherent way. On the other hand, it is expected ...
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Introduction
Achieving economic growth along with improving the distribution of income is always one of the main goals of economic development. In this regard, policy makers are the tools and policies that enhance the growth and distribution of income in a coherent way. On the other hand, it is expected that the insurance industry will be able to provide simultaneous access to economic growth and distribution of income, taking into account the function of risk distribution and its compensation, as well as its role in financial development. To test this hypothesis, here has used of the AutoRegressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach during the period 1975-2016.
The results showed that the development of the insurance industry could provide simultaneous access to economic growth and income distribution in the short run. But in the long run, it will only lead to economic growth. However, in the long run, it could be reliant on human and physical capital for simultaneous access to economic growth and the distribution of income. Also, based on the error correction model, 88.2% and 68.1% of the non-equilibrium related to the non-oil per capita gross domestic product and Gini coefficient are adjusted in each period, respectively.
Theoretical framework
In The second half of the 20th century onwards, especially since the 1970s, following widening the income gap between the poor and the rich as well as the development in public awareness, it has been emphasized on increasing the quality of life (Mehregan & Salarian, 2008:13). In general, classical and neoclassical economists believe that an uneven distribution of income can have a positive effect on the growth process, while others such as Mirdal and Sen believe that economic growth entails an improvement in income distribution and in fact considers the reduction of inequality necessary (Khodadad Kashi & Heidari, 2008: 153). However, if economic growth and improvement in income distribution are considered two essential components of economic development, there are three strategies for development (Sharifzadegan, 2007: 23-24):
A) Growth then Redistribution (GTR): Accordingly, with economic growth and the creation of vast economic capacities and enlarging the size of the economy, the conditions for employment is automatically provided for all social and income groups, thereby achieving a balanced income distribution.
B) Redilribution then Growth (RTG): In this strategy, comprehensive resources are mainly spent on proper distribution of income, and investment on economic growth and attention to it comes at a lower level, and practically undermines the social capacity of the community. Many experiences and studies show that in the long run, this policy will not achieve a balanced distribution of income or economic growth.
C) Growth with Redistribution (GWR): This strategy emphasizes that income redistribution cannot work without relying on a booming economy. In this strategy, executive policies should be able to work both for economic growth and for income distribution. The development of the insurance industry with the aim of fostering economic growth and improving income distribution can also be considered as one of the policies of this strategy.
Methodology
In this section, the following two econometric models are considered to examine the effects of the development of the insurance industry on economic growth and income distribution:
(1)
(2)
In the empirical studies, the variable level of income is present in the income distribution model, but the present study assumes that the level of income of individuals affected by physical wealth (physical capital or CAPL) and human wealth and capital (skill, expertise, and education level or HCAP). Accordingly, the LHCAP and LCAPL variables are used in the income distribution model instead of the natural logarithm of the income level. The research models for the period 1975-2016 will be estimated using the ARDL method.
Result and discussion
Because dynamic short-run interactions between variables are not considered in OLS method, the use of this method in estimating the long-run relationship does not necessarily yield unbiased estimation. Therefore, it seems reasonable that in such cases those models be considered that have short-term dynamics and thus make the model coefficients more accurately estimated. The ARDL method is a dynamic model that allows to estimate the long-run coefficients of the model with appropriate accuracy in addition to the cointegration test between variables (Nofersti, 2008). The main advantage of using the ARDL method is that regardless of whether the research variables have unit root in levels or some become stationary by one time differentiation, a long-run cointegration relationship between the variables can be obtained.
Conclusion
Achieving high economic growth coupled with improved income distribution has always been a major concern for policymakers in developing countries. In this regard, based on their historical experiences and those of other countries as well as the theoretical and empirical studies, countries prefer the strategy of Growth with Redistribution over GTR strategy or vice versa. On the other hand, insurance is expected to provide simultaneous access to economic growth and income distribution, given its functional role in risk distribution and compensation as well as its role in financial development. In the present study, this hypothesis was tested for the Iranian economy over the period 1975-2016 using the ARDL method.
The results of estimating income distribution model as ARDL (1, 1, 2, 3, 3, 1) showed that insurance penetration factor variables had a negative effect on Gini coefficient immediately and with a one-year lag. Oil revenues also have an impact on the Gini coefficient similar to that of the insurance industry, with its effect initially positive and negative with a one-year lag. But human capital with a two- and three-year lag and physical capital with a three-year lag have a negative effect on the Gini coefficient. Also, the results of estimation of economic growth model as ARDL (2,1,2,2,0) showed that development of insurance industry has positive and immediate effect on economic growth. The variables of human and physical capital have a positive significant lagged and non-lagged effect, and business openness variables have a positive and significant effect on economic growth after one-year lag.
Mohammad Ali Aboutorabi
Abstract
Introduction:
While the literature on the role of the financial development on economic growth and development is still expanding, there seems to be a definite consensus among economists regarding its positive impact on economic growth (Beck et al., 2000). This positive impact has led to the formation ...
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Introduction:
While the literature on the role of the financial development on economic growth and development is still expanding, there seems to be a definite consensus among economists regarding its positive impact on economic growth (Beck et al., 2000). This positive impact has led to the formation of researches in this field that have focused on the central role of financial development in the economies of countries.
The importance of financial development is particularly important in countries that try to get benefits from the sale of natural resources, as they have failed to get advantages from the benefits of managing these resources in order to achieve sustainable economic growth. According International Monetary Fund (2010), if natural resourcerich developing countries develop their financial systems they will be successful in managing these windfalls. So, they can increase the economy’s absorption capacity of natural resources revenues and stay away from any potential negative effects.
Theoretical Framework:
The process of Economic growth in natural resource-rich countries focuses on the development of the financial system through four basic ways, namely the transforming of natural capital into four forms of capital, whether tangible (including foreign capital and physical capital) and intangible (including human capital and social capital). Given the particular importance of intangible capital to sustainable economic growth (World Bank, 2012), this article focuses on generalized trust (as an indicator of social capital).
In fact, trust between individuals or between individuals and institutions is manifested by sharing information and social norms, and its higher levels are associated with more productive individuals and consequently higher economic growth (Elkhuizen, 2016: 6). Algan and Cahuc (2010) state that trust is one of the key determinants of economic development in all countries. They argue that generalized trust is the main factor to success in achieving economic development (Algan and Cahuc, 2010: 2060). Numerous empirical studies in the field of political science have focused mainly on the pivotal role of trust as an indicator of social capital in economic growth and development (Banfield, 1985; Arrow, 1972; Gambetta, 1988; Coleman, 1990; Greif, 1993; Fukuyama, 1995; and Putnam, 2000).
Given the key role of financial system development in achieving sustainable economic growth in resource-rich countries, and on the other hand, the high importance that public confidence plays in achieving the above objective, an important question arises: "Can financial development leads to getting benefits from natural resources revenues in the way of increasing augmented trust in the economy? ". In fact, what is referred to in the literature to the curse of natural resources is related to the negative impact of resources rents on the formation of various forms of capital. So, in countries that have been able to manage these revenues through financial development, the negative impact of natural resources have not been seen (Van der Ploege, 2010). Thus the existence of some natural resource-rich countries that through their developed financial systems have been able to properly manage the sources and inflows of their natural resource revenues and achieve significant economic growth (such as Norway, Australia and The Netherlands), can lead to proposing as an operational model for many resource-rich developing countries, including Iran.
Methodology:
Overall, from a policy perspective, it is important to understand the impacts of natural resource rents on augmented trust and whether this (positive or negative) effects will be improved through a well-developed financial institutions? In the present paper, in order to answer the basic question of this study, first, macroeconomic indicators that affect augmented trust are identified and then to study the impact of financial system development (in the banking sector) on how these rent affect augmented trust, the rolling regression technique (with fixed windows) based on the ARDL method is applied during the period 1970-2014 in Iran.
Results & Discussion:
The results of the model estimation show that the multidimensional development of the financial system in the banking sector has the potential to improve the impact of natural resource rent on public confidence in Iran. Therefore, the development of the financial system as a key structural policy is recommended for positive utilization of natural resources in Iran.
Conclusions & Suggestions:
From a policy perspective, it can be said that given the potential of the financial banking system for getting positive utilization of the rents from natural resources in order to increase augmented trust, special attention should be paid to the factors driving the financial development in Iran. Of course, regard to the flaws in the system, such as the existence of financial repression, the existence of suboptimal controls, and the lack of competitive space among financial intermediaries, we could say that if the obstacles against financial development are eliminated, it can be seen its improving effects on converting natural resources income into social capital accumulation and achieving sustainable growth and development. In this regard, policymakers should pay particular attention to the main channels of financial development in order to enhance the role of it on how resources rents affect generalized trust.
arezoo hamidi; mohamad noferesti; vida varahrami
Abstract
Economic Growth Depends on Energy Consumption and Due to it any Increase of Economic Growth Led to an Energy Consumption Gain. On The Other Hand Economic Growth is Under The Influence Of Development Of Financial Markets. Therefore Any Development In Financial Markets Will Increase The energy consumption. ...
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Economic Growth Depends on Energy Consumption and Due to it any Increase of Economic Growth Led to an Energy Consumption Gain. On The Other Hand Economic Growth is Under The Influence Of Development Of Financial Markets. Therefore Any Development In Financial Markets Will Increase The energy consumption. In This study we use a dynamic panel data and generalized method of moments (GMM) For Selected Oil Base Countries to Analyze a Relationship Between Financial Development and Energy Consumption. Results Indicates That Development of Financial Markets has a Positive Impact on Energy Consumption. Also Money Market has More Influence Than Capital Market On Energy Consumption.
naser sayfolahi; hatef hazeri
Abstract
Labor productivity issue in economy has an increasing importance in effective stability that is affected by various financial and non-financial factors. In this study, after using the partial adjustment model to address the endogeneity of the labor productivity, the direct effect of financial development ...
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Labor productivity issue in economy has an increasing importance in effective stability that is affected by various financial and non-financial factors. In this study, after using the partial adjustment model to address the endogeneity of the labor productivity, the direct effect of financial development on labor productivity has been analyzed by using Dynamic Panel Data (DPD) techniques based on Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries from 2000 to 2014. The empirical results of this study confirmed that, domestic credit to private sector as a share of GDP positively effects on labor productivity in the first place. Secondly, the higher levels of education and health have a higher level of labor productivity. In addition, increasing trade openness through knowledge and technology transfer enhances labor productivity. Finally, the additional worth findings confirmed the transmission of GDP per person employed performance to the next period and labor productivity dynamics.
Farzaneh Ahmadian Yazdi; Masoud Homayouni Far; Mohammad Hosein Mahdavi Adeli; Mohammad Ali Falahi; Seyyed Mohammad Hoseini
Abstract
Introduction
Financial system is fundamental for economic growth in most of countries. Based on vast studies done on the determinants of economic growth, financial development leads to economic growth in many countries in long time (Rousseau & Wachtel, 2002). It is worth noting that the importance of ...
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Introduction
Financial system is fundamental for economic growth in most of countries. Based on vast studies done on the determinants of economic growth, financial development leads to economic growth in many countries in long time (Rousseau & Wachtel, 2002). It is worth noting that the importance of financial system in economic growth has been notified for many years (e.g., Bagehot, 1873; Hicks, 1969; McKinnon & Shaw, 1973; King & Levin, 1993; Levin, 1997, 2002; Beck, Demirguc-Kunt & Levine 2000; Aizenman, 2015).
Although there is a vast literature about the importance of financial development, most of them have investigated the direct impact of financial development on economic growth. In this case it is important to know that there are four main channels that contribute to the relationship between financial development and overall economic output that are foreign capital, physical capital, human capital, and social capital. Based on World Bank’s analysis (2012), these five kinds of capital form national wealth in all economies. Meanwhile natural capital has the main role in resource-rich countries.
There is an expanding literature that shows the effects on natural resource rents on economic growth in resource-rich countries. Gylfason (2001) introduced four main channels that consist of four kinds of capital mentioned above to show how resource rents affect economic growth.
One of the important issues that have been neglected in this concept is how resource-rich countries can reverse the negative effects or improve the positive effects of resource rents on capital accumulation. There are few studies that argue financial development is an effective solution for that aim.
2) Theoretical Framework
Four kinds of capital that contribute to the relationship between resource rents and economic growth are foreign capital, physical capital, human capital and social capital. In fact natural capital will affect them in all resource-rich countries. Hence, the first step is to investigate the simultaneous effects of natural capital on other kinds of capital.
The conceptual model of this paper is that financial development is an infrastructure that has potential in improving the positive (or reducing negative) impact of natural resources on all kinds of capital accumulation. Therefore, the second step of this study is investigating the role of financial development on the effects of natural resources on accumulation of this kind of capital.
In this paper, we will show that financial development could absorb resource rents in order to allocate resources and invest them in most optimal projects. For more details it would be necessary to say that the debate about the influence of financial development on economic growth has been ongoing for more than a century. Since Schumpeter (1912) believed that financial development affects economic activity and hence economic growth. In fact, financial development has emerged as one of the policy levers central banks and governments use to target economic growth.
In fact, financial development is based on the financial development index which provides a measure for the breadth, depth and efficiency of financial systems. Generally, financial development is the factors, policies and institutions that lead to effective financial intermediation and markets, as well as deep and broad access to capital and financial services. To achieve a coherent view about financial development it would be necessary to know the main financial system functions. These are:
Facilitating the trading, hedging, diversifying and pooling of the risks;
Allocating financial resources;
Monitoring managers and exerting corporate control;
Mobilizing savings;
Facilitating the exchange of goods and services (Levine, 1997).
Governments in developing resource-rich countries in order to achieve the optimal use of resource rents could stimulate financial development through some macroeconomic policies (Huang, 2010). One of the probable results of financial development is to smooth consumption of below-ground wealth across generations. Other consequence of financial development will be seen in isolating government budgets from volatile resource prices, allowing the budgetary process to be conducted with more certainty.
Methodology
This paper provides a model for investigating the simultaneous effects of natural resource rents on four kinds of capital accumulation using SUR model. In second step, for investigating the role of financial development index on the effects of natural resource rents on all kinds of capital, we have utilized Rolling Regression technique. This method is suitable for testing the effects of one variable on two other variables in a model. Also, it is worth noting that the multi-dimension financial development index that consists of 8 main financial indices in banking sector is made by PCA method.
Results and Discussion
Based on the results of SUR estimator, resource rent has positive effect on foreign and social capital but it has negative effect on physical capital. There are various effects from resource rents on human capital accumulation; sometimes, it has positive and sometimes it has negative effect. It shows that natural resource rents have different effect on each kinds of capital accumulation in Iran during 15 rolling regression (fixed) windows that have 30 observations for each variable in one window. As is evident in this paper, the total natural resource rents itself is not a curse for the economy, but it could be a blessing. One of the important reasons for the negative effect of resources on physical capital is more governmental investments in this sector and there are some rent-seeking activities that prevent resources from mobilizing to productive projects.
The results of rolling regression show that the development of financial banking system can improve the effects of resource rents on physical and social capital in Iran. But we do not get the same results for foreign capital and human capital. In foreign capital sector, ignoring the development of external dimension of financial banking system that may be seen as financial liberalization is one of the main reasons for this event.
The reason for undesirable effect of financial development in human capital sector relates to low level of financial innovation in banking sector and high level of risks that banks are faced with. Consequently, many innovative projects from people who have high level of human capital accumulation will not be considered in Iran.
Conclusion and Suggestions
Natural resource management is one of the important issues in resource-rich countries. Based on the results, financial development can mitigate the negative effect or improve the positive effects of these rents on capital accumulation. The results show that financial development would be beneficial for this aim in physical and social capital sector in Iran. But it cannot improve the effects of resource rents on foreign and human capital accumulation.
Based on the results, we could suggest that considering development of financial system is a necessity in resource-rich countries such as Iran. Meanwhile the important issue is focusing on all financial development channels that lead to balanced development in financial system. Also, it is worth noting that policy makers should avoid financial repression because this would prevent it from imposing positive effects on the economy. At the end, we could say that paying attention to all kinds of capital would lead to sustainable economic growth when it is accompanied by stable financial development.
nahid rajabzadeh moghani; mohamad ali falahi; mehdi khodaparast mashhadi
Abstract
One of the effective factors on economic growth and development is financial development. Indeed, today the level of economic development is determined by the level of financial development in the countries. Hence, many studies try to identify effective factors in financial development. Natural resource ...
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One of the effective factors on economic growth and development is financial development. Indeed, today the level of economic development is determined by the level of financial development in the countries. Hence, many studies try to identify effective factors in financial development. Natural resource abundance is one of the factors that has effect on financial development of countries. From the 1980s, most studies have only investigated the relationship between natural resource abundance and economic growth. They only try to explain the reason of the resource curse. In these studies the effect of resource abundance on financial development is neglected. But it is claimed that one of the reasons of slow economic growth in resource abundant countries is the low level of financial development.
There are five mechanisms through which resource abundance can impact financial development. The first mechanism is the Dutch disease. The exploitation of natural resources tends to shift factors of production away from the manufacturing sector. Thus, resource abundance tends to shrink the traded sector. But trade is found to play an important role in financial development. Therefore, resource abundance which weakens the traded sector may have a negative impact on financial development. Second, governments’ access to huge amounts of oil rents reduces the governments' need for financing through taxes. In these circumstances a government has no obligation against people and the people have also less demand for accountability in order to define and guarantee property rights and economic security. Weak property rights leads to poor business environment. As a result, investment incentives are reduced. Secure property rights increase the incentives of innovations and creativity. Since entrepreneurs are the main demanders of credit in financial markets, undermining property rights leads to weaken financial markets. Third, economic rent of resource abundance increase opportunities for rent-seeking and corruption. Rent seeking can cause corruption in government, business of people and distortion in allocation of recourse. Corruption may induce a lack of confidence in the government and hence undermine its policy credibility. Because of low policy credibility, it will be difficult for the government to implement some financial reforms. In addition, rent seeking leads to reduced incentives of creativity and innovations. In these conditions, economic creators prefer to gain high rent by abusing weak institutions. Since entrepreneurs are potential promoters of financial development, if the number of entrepreneurs is reduced by resource booms, financial development may also slow down because the demand for it is weakened. Forth, resource abundance tends to weaken private and public incentives to accumulate human capital. Empirical studies show that there is a negative link between human capital and natural resource abundance. Since human and physical capital complement each other in firms, weakening human capital reduce physical capital and investment. In addition, resource abundance reduces social capital. Since social capital determines the level of trust in society and trust is the basis of the financial contracts, resource abundance reduces the level of financial development. Fifth, establishment of democracy is not easily possible in resource abundant countries and power is only in the hands of particular groups and rent seekers. There are lots of scholars like Clague, Keefer, Knack and Olson (1996) and Olsson (1993) that examined the relationship between democracy and financial development. They show that democratic regimes provide better field of protection of property rights, contract enforcement and encourage more investment than authoritarian regimes. Thus, democracy promotes financial developments.
Beside above mechanisms it should be emphasized that environmental factors can have impact on the relationship between natural resource abundance and financial development. It is expected that resource abundance reduce financial development in the countries with weak institutional quality. In contrast, mentioned mechanisms do not work in the countries with high level of institutional quality. In other words, resource abundance cannot have a negative impact on financial development in the countries with good institutional quality. World Bank introduces governance indicators to show institutional quality of countries. Three researchers named Kufmann, Kraay and Lobaton (1999) create these indicators. They combined the results of various international institutions such as EIU, ICRG, Heritage Foundation and Freedom House about economic, political and social situations and then introduced new indicators as governance indicators. These indicators include voice and accountability, political stability, control of corruption, regulatory quality, government effectiveness and rule of law.
In this paper, countries with respect to good governance indicators are categorized into three groups. They include countries with high, medium, and low institutional quality. In this study, using the panel data method for 22 selected oil exporting countries over 1996-2009, the effect of resource abundance on two financial development index (i.e., private credit by deposit money banks and other financial institutions/ GDP and M2/GDP) is examined. Among 22 countries, 5 of them have weak institutional quality, 8 of them have medium institutional quality, and 9 of them have high institutional quality.
The results indicate that the relationship between resource abundance and two financial development indices is positive and significant in countries with high governance, but negative in countries with low and weak governance. The results also indicate that there is no significant relationship between resource abundance and financial development in countries with the average level of governance. Therefore improving institutional quality seems necessary to enhance financial development in oil economies.
Mahdi Khodaparast Mashhadi; Mohammad Ali Falahi; nahid rajabzadeh moghani
Abstract
One of the effective factors in economic growth and development is financial development. Indeed, today, the level of economic development is determined by the level of financial development in the countries. Economists emphasize on the importance of financial market and its key role in economic development ...
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One of the effective factors in economic growth and development is financial development. Indeed, today, the level of economic development is determined by the level of financial development in the countries. Economists emphasize on the importance of financial market and its key role in economic development (e.g., Schumpeter, 1912; Hicks, 1969; McKinnon, 1973; King, 1993; Beck & Levine, 2003). Therefore, identifying the determinant factors of financial development is really crucial. Many studies have been done to identify effective factors in financial development. However, most of them focus on the role of economic factors in financial development. Among all effective factors in financial development in countries, less attention has been given to the role of institutional quality. Hence, the aim of this paper is to study the effect of institutional quality on financial development with emphasis on banking sector in selected countries of Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC).
There are two popular theories that explain the role of institutions in financial development. According to Law and Finance Theory introduced by Laporta, Lopez-de-silabes, Shleifer, and Vishny (1997; 1998), differences in the legal protections of investor and creditors and the quality of contract enforcement can explain the different level of financial development between countries. Endowment Theory introduced by Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson (2001) explains the relationship between different formation of colonization and institutions during 17-19 centuries. Acemoglu et al. (2001) found that the origin of colonization has a permanent effect on formation of institutions. Beck & Levine (2003) apply both theories for explanting financial development and found that legal origin matters for financial development because legal traditions differ in their ability to adapt efficiently to evolving economic conditions. In addition, some other studies have been done on political economics of financial development (e.g., Pagano & Volpin, 2000; Rajan & Zingales, 2003; Girma & shortland, 2008; Singh, Kpodar & Chura, 2009; Anayitos & Toroyan, 2009; Hung, 2010). All studies in this area have found that quality of institutions play a key role in financial development.
In this study, using panel data method for selected countries of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) over 1996-2010, the effect of institutional quality on financial development is examined. This paper investigates the effect of seven institutional quality indicators (i.e., voice & accountability, control of corruption, political stability, rule of law, government effectiveness, regulatory quality and weighed average of six institutional quality indicators) on two financial development indicators, namely, private credit by deposit money banks and other financial institutions/GDP. Information of governance indicators has taken from World Governance Indicators. Based on World Bank definitions, voice & accountability reflects perceptions of the extent to which a country's citizens are able to participate in selecting their government as well as freedom of expression, freedom of association, and a free media. Control of corruption reflects perceptions of the extent to which public power is exercised for private gain, including both petty and grand forms of corruption as well as capturing of the state by elites and private interests. Political Stability measures perceptions of the likelihood of political instability and politically-motivated violence, including terrorism. Rule of law reflects perceptions of the extent to which agents have confidence in and abide by the rules of society, and, in particular, the quality of contract enforcement, property rights, the police, and the courts as well as the likelihood of crime and violence. Government effectiveness reflects perceptions of the quality of public services, the quality of the civil service, and the degree of its independence from political pressures, the quality of policy formulation and implementation, and the credibility of the government's commitment to such policies. Regulatory quality reflects perceptions of the ability of the government to formulate and implement sound policies and regulations that permit and promote private sector development.
Data of two financial development indicators have been taken from World Bank and International Financial Statistics dataset. In this study, the overall governance indicator (weighed average of six institutional quality indicators) is calculated by principal component analysis approach. The results of poolabilty test and Chaw test indicate that panel approach should be applied in all models. In addition, the results obtained from Breusch-Pagn and Hausman tests show that using fixed effect model is appropriate for all seven models.
Among these seven models whose dependent variables are Private credit by deposit money banks and other financial institutions/GDP, two models are selected based on , namely, Akaike Info Criterion and Schwarz Criterion. The results of estimation suggest that overall governance indicators (weighted average of six indicators of institutional quality) and control of corruption have a significant and positive effect on Private credit by deposit money banks and other financial institutions/GDP. From these seven models whose dependent variable is M2/GDP, one model is selected based on related criteria, as the best model. In this model, government effectiveness indicator has a significant and positive effect on M2/GDP. Hence, improving institutional quality is a necessary and essential factor for enhancing financial development and policymakers should apply appropriate policies to improve governments' position in these countries. Through this way, one of the barriers of economic development would be removed.
Mahindokht Kazemi; Mohammad Ali Falahi; Akram Zeynaliyan
Abstract
This study, using ARDL model, examines the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and indicators of financial development with variables such as real per capita non-oil income, per capita energy consumption and ratio of import and export to GDP in Iran during the period 1352-1390.
The results ...
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This study, using ARDL model, examines the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and indicators of financial development with variables such as real per capita non-oil income, per capita energy consumption and ratio of import and export to GDP in Iran during the period 1352-1390.
The results show that long-run elasticity of carbon dioxide emissions with respect to real per capita income, per capita energy consumption and export in Iran are positive and with respect to import is negative. According to the results, the ratio of liquid liabilities to GDP and private sector debt to the banking system to GDP have positive and significant effect on carbon dioxide emissions in the long run, (0.257) and (0.304) and in the short run (0.175) and (0.233) in Iran respectively. In addition, the effect of the ratio of commercial bank domestic assets to central bank and total assets of banking system on CO2 emissions in Iran in the long run is non-significant and in the short run is estimated at 90% significance level and about (-0.205). The Causality test results show that there is a short run one-way causal relationship of the three indicators of financial development on emissions of carbon dioxide in Iran.
Asadollah Farzinvash; hamid Azizmohammadlou
Abstract
Financial system Development and private investment growth are both as the accelerator of the economic growth. This implies that these two factors can increase economic growth through enhancing each other.
In this study we examine if there is such interaction and significant relationship between financial ...
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Financial system Development and private investment growth are both as the accelerator of the economic growth. This implies that these two factors can increase economic growth through enhancing each other.
In this study we examine if there is such interaction and significant relationship between financial development and private investment in Iran economy.
According to the findings of the cointegration tests, there is a statistical significant relationship between financial development and private investment in economy of Iran in long term but not in short term. This means that private investment requires a developed financial system that preserves it’s stability during a long period. Furthermore, if the private investment experiences a stable growth trend in a long term, then it can increase financial development.
Mohammad javad razmi; Seyed mahdi mostafavi; Mohadese Mahmoodi
Abstract
Economic growth is one of the goals any country that always been considered by policy makers and planners. In recent years researching the relationship between financial development and economic growth is of particular importance and intensive studies have been performed in this field. On the other hand, ...
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Economic growth is one of the goals any country that always been considered by policy makers and planners. In recent years researching the relationship between financial development and economic growth is of particular importance and intensive studies have been performed in this field. On the other hand, financial development is caused by a factor, such as trade liberalization. The usual view is that, trade liberalization with led securities to the efficient investment opportunities will lead to financial market development. But there is a different opinion about this theory they believe trade development is limited to financial economics.
In this regard, this study tries to investigate by using panel data for the group of developing countries that their financial system is the same (The indicators of financial development).
The results of this study show that trade openness policies for financial development that now is a major economy of the countries, is not appropriate, at least in the early stages.
Mahmood Hoshmand; Mohammad Danesh nia
Abstract
Always, financial sector has a central role in development and economic growth. Hence the relationship between financial development and economic growth appears to be essential. This article examines the impact of financial development on economic growth, with consider other variables affecting ...
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Always, financial sector has a central role in development and economic growth. Hence the relationship between financial development and economic growth appears to be essential. This article examines the impact of financial development on economic growth, with consider other variables affecting the economic growth, such as ratio of commercial, domestic investment and interest rate.
This study estimates a relationship between variables within a Auto regressive Distributed Lag framework over the periods .
The results of this study represents a significant and positive impact of financial development on economic growth. Also domestic investment has a positive and significant impact on economic growth, and Interest rate has a significant negative impact on economic growth.
