Meysam Pashaee; Mehdi Fathabadi
Abstract
The government budget is the largest and most important financial document of the country, it is expected every year. Unfortunately, the forecast error in budget expenditures and revenues has caused a budget deficit for the country in consecutive years. Therefore, in the present study, the factors affecting ...
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The government budget is the largest and most important financial document of the country, it is expected every year. Unfortunately, the forecast error in budget expenditures and revenues has caused a budget deficit for the country in consecutive years. Therefore, in the present study, the factors affecting the error in forecasting government budget expenditures in the period 1360-96 have been investigated. For this purpose, a regression model has been used to examine the three models of cost credits, capital asset acquisition, and financial asset acquisition. The results of SURE model show that exchange rate variables and realized values of costs are effective in predicting all three cost variables and GDP is effective in forecasting cost credits and capital credits with coefficients of 1.201 and 1.662, i.e. when GDP Government spending and development credits are also increasingeffective in forecasting cost credits and capital credits with coefficients of 1.201 and 1.662, i.e. when GDP Government spending and development credits are also increasing
shabnam sadeghi nasab; Ali Falahati; Kiomars Sohaili
Abstract
Abstract
In recent decades one of the problems that Iran’s economy had been faced is the high growth rate of liquidity in the country. The high liquidity growth have had many consequences for Iran’s economy include high inflation, currency depreciation, high interest rates and those problems pointed ...
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Abstract
In recent decades one of the problems that Iran’s economy had been faced is the high growth rate of liquidity in the country. The high liquidity growth have had many consequences for Iran’s economy include high inflation, currency depreciation, high interest rates and those problems pointed out. Since the liquidity in Iran has always been a positive growth rate, in most studies, liquidity has been introduced as one of the factors affecting on inflation, the recent study aims is examine and analyze high liquidity in Iran experimentally and as well as finding the main components.
In this study has been used Vector Auto Regressive Model (var). For this purpose, by use from time series data for the 1359-1391, examine the model.
The results obtained from the study implies that, growth rate of exchange, inflation rate, interest rate,
have a Negative and significant relationship and also growth rate of budget deficit and growth rate of GDP , have a Positive and significant relationship with growth rate of liquidity. In result can said that money inside in Iran.
Majed Delavare Delavare; Sajad Basir
Abstract
To day reaching a high economic growth rate is one of the main and
important aim of any economic system. Today the economists accept that
economic stability is a necessary issue, but is not enough for the economic
growth, while economic instability is one of the main elements, which
restrict economic ...
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To day reaching a high economic growth rate is one of the main and
important aim of any economic system. Today the economists accept that
economic stability is a necessary issue, but is not enough for the economic
growth, while economic instability is one of the main elements, which
restrict economic growth. The aim of this research is analysis of the effect of
stability index of economy on economic growth in the country and to reach
the mentioned aim Spain has been used.
The main results obtained are as follows : The effect of real Budget Deficit
ratio to GDP on economic growth rate at the time of study (1973-2006)on
short and long run is negaitive and meaningful. The effect of inflation and
exchange rate has negative impact on the economic growth of Iran during
the study the short and long run .During the study the effect of government
consumption expenses ratio to GDP on economic growth is negative and
finally the effect of government Investment expenses to GDP on economic
growth is positive.In as much the effect each of three indexes economical
instability on economic growth of Iran has been negative and the result show
