Financial monetary economy
Yaser Moomivand; seyyd mohammadbagher najafi; Kaveh Derakhshani Darabi; jamal fathollahi
Abstract
Monetary policies are one of the most important policy tools for improving economicvariables, including inflation and production. Monetary policy is currently a dynamic andchallenging field of economic sciences, theoretically and empirically. The views on the effectof monetary policy on production vary ...
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Monetary policies are one of the most important policy tools for improving economicvariables, including inflation and production. Monetary policy is currently a dynamic andchallenging field of economic sciences, theoretically and empirically. The views on the effectof monetary policy on production vary from the ineffectiveness and neutrality of money inthe short and long term to the effectiveness of monetary policy and its effect on production inthe long term and even in the short term.2. Review of the literatureInstitutional aspects and their effect on economic variables and the economic performance ofdifferent societies have been attracted by experts in the field since the 1980s and led to thedevelopment and expansion of its literature in the 1990s. Moreover, the valuable works ofNorth and Coase, as well as, winning the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences for their effortsto introduce institutional analyses put forward institutionalism as one of the leading economictheories. According to this literature, it can be stated that the same impulses and policies canbe followed by different reactions due to temporal and spatial differences in the institutionalenvironment in which they happened (Dehghan Monshadi, 2019).2.1. The effect of governance on the effectiveness of policiesThe new economic literature emphasizes the importance of institutions and governanceconditions in the economic development process and the performance of economic policies.Governance has a long history and has been defined in different ways. It literally meansdomination, ruling, and strategic government, but it means the activity of countrymanagement and control of a company or organization in the Oxford English Dictionary(Gholipoor, 2004).3. Materials and methodsThis research investigated the effect of variables on the effectiveness of monetary policyusing the model introduced by De Mendonça and Nascimento (2018), which is presented asRelation (1).(1)where is the index obtained for the effectiveness of the monetary policy in the i th country inthe t th year, GGI is the index of good governance, and X is other economic variables affectingthe effectiveness of the monetary policy, such as the degree of openness of the economy, thedevelopment of financial markets, and virtual variable of the existence of the inflationtargeting policy in the relevant country. In the years with the inflation targeting policy, thevalue was set to 1, but it was 0 in other years. In addition, the GDP variable was included inthe model to include other variables affecting the effectiveness of monetary policy.4. ResultsThe effectiveness index of monetary policy was calculated for the sample countries beforeestimating the coefficients using the proposed approach. This research calculated theeffectiveness of monetary policy using the approach introduced by Krause and Rioja (2006).In this approach, and were calculated for the selected countries in each year. The inflationdeviation was measured by the deviation of the consumer price index. Analysis of thedescriptive statistics for the research variables demonstrated that this index average for thecountries in the period under study was 2980.43 and the median equaled 1.48. It should benoted that the lower the value of the index, the more effective the policy would be in thereduction of inflation and production fluctuations. The highest and lowest index value was873575.4 and -107.91, respectively. Jarque- Bera statistic and its significance level alsoshowed that the distribution of the variable is not normal.5. ConclusionAs shown by the results of earlier studies and the present research, the process of selection,decision-making, and performance of individuals and societies takes place within theframework of institutions. Thus, their reaction to various phenomena, including economicand monetary policies, depends on institutions. One of the major institutions is thegovernance that affects economic variables with monetary and financial policies. Therefore,the primary objective of this research was to determine the effect of governance quality onthe effectiveness of monetary policy. According to the results, improving the quality ofgovernance significantly reduced production and inflation fluctuations and enhanced theeffectiveness of monetary policy. Hence, it could be concluded that in societies withfavorable governance indicators, better and more complete implementation of laws andregulations could be expected, and formal and informal obstacles to implement economicpolicies are reduced. The results obtained from the estimation of coefficients indicated asignificant relationship between the inflation targeting policy and the increased effectivenessof monetary policy. The existence of inflation-targeting policy and its obligation make thecentral bank focus more on the main goals of monetary policy, which is to maintain the valueof the national currency and increase economic stability. Under such circumstances, thepolicy-maker can have more authority in controlling inflation and production fluctuationsrather than other secondary goals, resulting in more success in controlling inflation andproduction fluctuations.
fatemeh khani; mahmod hoshmand
Abstract
In recent years, global warming has increased with greenhouse gases such as methane, carbon dioxide, water vapor and nitrogen oxide, causing unhealthy changes in the environment. In this regard, this paper consists of five sections. After the introduction in the second part, we describe the studies carried ...
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In recent years, global warming has increased with greenhouse gases such as methane, carbon dioxide, water vapor and nitrogen oxide, causing unhealthy changes in the environment. In this regard, this paper consists of five sections. After the introduction in the second part, we describe the studies carried out on the subject of the research. Then, in the third part, the topic is discussed. In the fourth section, the model used and the variables of the model have been introduced and the results of the estimation of the model have been presented. In the fifth part, we have also discussed the conclusion. Empirical studies on the topic of research have been divided into two categories (external studies and internal studies). In each of these divisions, the studies that have examined the impact of financial development on environmental pollution, as well as studies that have examined the role of governance on environmental pollution are mentioned. Since the study of the effect of financial development on the environment has recently been considered, this section is part of a series of studies that refer to the relationship between financial development and the environment, and also based on the few studies that link the financial and environmental development have analyzed the different channels of the impact of financial development on the environment. Since this study is an inter-country study, data panel information in the studied country group (selected countries of the oil exporter) was used during the period 1996-1996. Also, the 16 selected oil exporting countries include Algeria, Bahrain, Ecuador, Egypt, Iran, Jordan, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, UAE, Venezuela and Yemen. Before presenting the results of model estimation, descriptive statistics of the variables used in the model (carbon dioxide emissions, per capita income, per capita energy consumption, good governance index, financial development index) have been presented. The innovation of the present study can be argued that this study, taking into account simultaneously two important variables and the effect of financial and governance development on the environment in one of the models with comprehensive and low probability of error (data panel), and also, by choosing the appropriate country group (which has a very high degree of homogeneity according to the subject matter), it has tried to speak with greater confidence about the effect of financial development on the environment. Based on the estimates of the present research, the coefficients related to economic growth, energy consumption with a positive sign, suggest that there is a direct relationship between these variables and environmental pollution. In other words, economic growth in these countries has been accompanied by further environmental degradation, and excessive consumption of energy in the economic growth process has caused more environmental damage. Now, if economic growth is accompanied by financial development, it can be argued that financial development in the long run will lead to technological advancement, resulting in less energy consumption and less pollution. On the other hand, the coefficient of good governance is negative, indicating that good governance is one of the factors that improve the quality of the environment. Improving the governance index reduces the gap between the people and the state in environmental issues and reduces environmental pollution. In order to develop financial market and reduce environmental pollution it is recommended:
Adoption of appropriate policies for the development of the financial sector and reduction of environmental pollution
Provision of resources for the implementation of environmental protection projects, which are often run by the government and other social and economic institutions and require financing.
Due to the lack of capital in low-quality institutions, the reform of financial and institutional infrastructure in order to attract and inflate capital (by regulating environmental regulations and prioritizing more environmentally friendly technologies) is recommended to these countries so that they improve through the level of financial development.
Policy makers should note that financial sector reforms must be implemented step by step with great care in order to prevent financial instability and its impact on environmental degradation.
The positive relationship between GDP per capita and the per capita GDP of carbon dioxide in the selected countries of the oil exporter can be attributed to the inefficiency of the production sector and the lack of access to advanced technology in this section, given these cases with the advancement of production technology and the modernization of the production sector, it is possible to prevent high pollution from high tech contamination.
A positive relationship between per capita energy consumption and environmental pollution can be partly attributed due to the high energy use in the commercial and home sectors and in transportation, in which energy efficiency is not optimized in these sectors. With this in mind, energy consumption optimization policies and raising the level of people's awareness of environmental hazards can prevent energy consumption from contaminating the environment.
