زینب قبائی آرانی بهرام سحابی لطفعلی عاقلی کهنه شهری


جانشینی پول پدیده رایج کشورهای درحال توسعه است که اثرات متفاوتی بر رفاه اقتصادی افراد جامعه دارد. یکی از معیارهای مهم بررسی رفاه اقتصادی افراد جامعه، مصرف خصوصی می¬باشد. این پژوهش به بررسی اثرات رفاهی جانشینی پول از طریق تأثیر درجه جانشینی پول بر مصرف خصوصی می¬پردازد. در این پژوهش ابتدا از روش کمین و اریکسون(2003) برای برآورد حجم پول خارجی درگردش و درجه جانشینی پول استفاده می¬شود. برای تخمین تابع تقاضای پول واقعی در روش کمین و اریکسون و همچنین برای بررسی تأثیردرجه جانشینی پول بر مصرف خصوصی از روش هم‌جمعی جوهانسون-جوسیلیوس استفاده می¬شود. نتایج روش هم¬انباشتگی جوهانسون-جوسیلیوس نشان داد که تأثیر جانشینی پول بر مصرف خصوصی منفی و معنی¬دار است. به عبارتی دیگر با افزایش درجه جانشینی پول، مصرف خصوصی افراد کاهش می‌یابد و درنتیجه رفاه اقتصادی افراد نیز کاهش می یابد.

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ارجاع به مقاله
قبائی آرانیز., سحابیب., & عاقلی کهنه شهریل. (۱۳۹۷-۰۲-۱۰). بررسی اثرات رفاهی جانشینی پول در ایران (دوره زمانی1338-1392). پژوهش های اقتصاد پولی، مالی, 25(15), 251-274. https://doi.org/10.22067/pm.v25i15.54854
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